FULL-SCALE RUSSIAN-UKRAINIAN WAR IN THE CONTEXT OF WORLD-SYSTEM ANALYSIS
Abstract
The meaning and role of a full-scale Russian-Ukrainian War of 2022–? years through the prism of theoretical provisions of world-system analysis are investigated. The main theoretical provisions of the world-system analysis regarding the dynamics of the change of hegemon states in the core of the world-economy are considered. According to the world-system theory, the trends unfolding in the modern world are analyzed and correspond to the period before the beginning of the «final crisis» of the current hegemony.
The following changes in the modern world as a result of the Russian-Ukrainian War are highlighted: systematic violation of the world «rules of the game» established as a result of the Second World War and the «cold» war; demonstration of the inability of the United States to perform the functions of a world hegemon; compromising the activities of multilateral organizations created after 1945; increasing the level of danger in the world.
Full-scale Russian-Ukrainian War of 2022–? years is defined as an event signifying the early start of the entry of the world-economy into the «final crisis» of the current hegemony. This war, by historical analogy (among the wars that in the past preceded the active phase of the struggle for hegemony), most of all resembles the Japanese-Chinese War of 1937–1945.
Based on the analysis of the current war, a number of features of the upcoming «World Thirty Years' War» are predicted, the key of which is that the methods of warfare are likely to be similar to those of the First and Second World Wars – this is a clash of large land armies, indiscriminate attacks on cities, etc. It has been determined that the Thirty Years' World War can take place in two formats: «hybrid» (there is no direct military clash between «centres of power», but there are numerous wars on the territory of «peripheral» countries) and «full-scale» (which, with a high probability, may eventually lead to the use of nuclear weapons).
Downloads
References
Braudel, F. 1984. Civilization and Capitalism, 15th-18th Century, Vol. III: The Perspective of the World. London: William Collins Sons & Co Ltd. URL: https://ia600607.us.archive.org/9/items/BraudelFernandCivilizationAndCapitalism/Braudel,%20Fernand%20-%20Civilization%20and%20Capitalism,%20Vol.%20.pdf.
Wallerstein, I. 2004. World-Systems Analysis: An Introduction. Durham: Duke University Press.
Wallerstein, I. 1993. The Modern World-System. Vol. I–III. San-Diego: Academic Press, 1974–1989. Collinns.
Arrighi, G. 2009. The Long Twentieth Century: Money, Power and the Origins of Our Times. UK: Verso.
Batalov, O.A. 2020. Modern trends in international relations according to world-system analysis, European diplomacy in the 21st century: a collection of theses of scientific reports at the III Research and practice round table conference (December 18, 2020, Kharkiv city, V.N. Karazin Kharkiv National University) : 16-20. URL: http://international-relations-tourism.karazin.ua/themes/irtb/resources/230fea8a1dfdda782c297f6403708afc.pdf (in Ukrainian).
Author’s copyright and licensing.
License Terms: Authors retain copyright and also grant the Journal the right to publish original scientific articles that contain research results and are not under consideration for publication in other issues. All material is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution License International CC-BY, which allows others to distribute their work with the copyright of this work and recognition of the first publication in this Journal.
If the article is taken for publishing in The Journal of V.N. Karazin Kharkov National University. “Political Science Issues”, the author must sign a copyright transfer agreement. The agreement is sent by post (original document) or by e-mail (scanned copy of the document) to the Editorial Board of the Journal.
By this agreement the author certifies that the submitted material:
- does not violate the copyrights of other people or organizations;
- has not been previously published in other issues and has not been given for publishing to other issues.
The author gives the editorial board the rights to:
- publish the article in Ukrainian (English and Russian) and distribute its printed version;
- translate the article into English (for articles in Ukrainian and Russian) and distribute the printed version of the translation;
- distribute the electronic version of the article, as well as the electronic version of the English-language translation of the article (for articles in Ukrainian and Russian), through any electronic means (placing on the official journal web site, in electronic databases, repositories, etc.).
The author reserves the right without the consent of the editorial board and the founders to:
- Completely or partly use the materials of the article for educational purposes.
- Completely or partly use the materials of the article for writing own theses.
- Use the materials of the article to prepare abstracts, conference reports, and oral presentations.
- Post electronic copies of the article (including the final electronic version downloaded from the journal's official website) to:
- personal web-resources of all authors (web sites, web pages, blogs, etc.);
- web-resources of institutions where authors work (including electronic institutional repositories);
- non-profit, open-source web resources (such as arXiv.org).
