Mathematical model of condition-based preventive maintenance of a complex technical system
Abstract
A new approach to mathematical modeling of complex technical systems according to their condition is being developed. Connections between subsystems of a complex system are considered to be arbitrary in terms of reliability. Due to wear, failures of subsystems can happen at random moments of time. Failures of some subsystems can lead to the entire system failure. The purpose of the simulation is to maintain the level of reliability and operability of a complex technical system at an optimal level for an unlimited time interval by means of regular preventive maintenance and repair. Technical instructions and specifications, as well as statistical data, are used in modeling a priori characteristics of subsystems. That information is used to determine the reliability of a complex system and its condition. The mathematical model is built in terms of the Markov decision-making process. The chosen optimization method allows obtaining the best policy for choosing acceptable preventive maintenance policy and repairs at the planned time of inspections and moments of failures.
Downloads
References
Barzilovich E.Yu., Belyaev Yu.K., Kashtanov V.A. and others. Ed. Gnedenko B.V. Mathematical theory of reliability issues. - M.: Radio and communication, 1983.[in Russian]
Kashtanov V.A., Medvedev A.I. “Theory of reliability of the difficult systems”. М.: FIZMATLIT, 2010.[in Russian]
Herzbach I.B., Kordonsky H.B. Fault models. - M.: Sov. Radio, 1966. - 166p. .[in Russian]
Barlow R.E., Proschan F. Mathematical Theory of Reliability. SIAM, 1996. — 258 p. .[in Russian]
Tolok I.V. Mathematical model of technical maintenance of difficult refurbishable object without account of his structure. Informatics and Mathematical Methods in Simulation. Vol. 6, №4, P. 379-384. 2016 [in Ukrainian]
Podtsykin N.S. Mathematical model of the dynamics of restorable systems. Radioelectronics & Informatics”. №4, P. 85-90. 2001.[in Russian]
Podtsykin N.S. A mathematical model for the prevention of complex technical systems. Bulletin of V. Karazin Kharkiv National University, series Mathematical Modelling. Information Technology. Automated Control Systems, Issue 31, P. 82-93, 2016. [in Russian]
Podtsykin N.S. Optimization of the reliability of a complex technical system. Bulletin of V. Karazin Kharkiv National University, series Mathematical Modelling. Information Technology. Automated Control Systems, Issue 39, P. 48-60. 2018.[in Russian]
H. Main, S. Osaki. Markov decision-making processes. - M.: Science, 1977. .[in Russian]
Howard R.A. Dynamic programming and Markov processes. Sov. Radio, 1964. .[in Russian]
A.L. Gorelik., V.A. Skripkin. Recognition methods, M.: Higher School, 2004. .[in Russian]
Samarsky B.P., Gulin A.V. Numerical methods M: Science, 1989. ─ 432 p.
Rudin U. Functional analysis. M.: Mir, 1975. [in Russian]
Podtsykin N.S. Optimization of the observation period in the Markov decision-making process. Visnyk KhNU, №629, Seria “Mathematical Modeling. Informacion technology. Automated Control Systems”, Issue 3, Kharkiv, pp. 25-32, 2004. .[in russian]
Podtsykin N.S. Optimization in periodic Markovian decision processes. Cybernetics and Systems Analysis, Kyiv, № 2, 1991, pp. 91-94,99. .[in russian]
Dyakonov V.P. Maple 10/11/12/13/14 in mathematical calculations. - M.: DMK Press, 2011. 800 p. [in russian]