Nuclear states as a factor of destabilization of international security: theoretical discussion and conceptual analysis
Abstract
This article explores the complex and multifaceted impact of nuclear-armed states on contemporary international security. Particular emphasis is placed on the destabilizing role of nuclear weapons, especially in the context of threats posed by nuclear proliferation, arms races, and the potential outbreak of nuclear conflict. Through an analysis of classical international relations theories – realism, liberalism, and constructivism – the study examines how the possession of nuclear arsenals influences the foreign policy behavior of states and the global balance of power. The ambivalent nature of nuclear deterrence is discussed: while it may reduce the likelihood of large-scale wars between major powers, it also contributes to heightened tensions and instability in the international system. The article focuses on the issue of nuclear terrorism, the illicit trafficking of nuclear materials, and the growing risks posed by dual-use technologies. It analyzes the role of international agreements such as the NPT, arms reduction treaties, and nuclear disarmament initiatives aimed at mitigating global threats. The importance of international cooperation, technology control, and political accountability is emphasized. The article argues for the formation of a comprehensive, multidimensional approach to achieving a nuclear-weapon-free world, combining political will, scientific innovation, and the strengthening of international legal norms. This study represents a timely contribution to the academic discourse on the prospects for nuclear disarmament in an era of escalating geopolitical tension.
Downloads
References
/References
Договір про нерозповсюдження ядерної зброї від 1 липня 1968 року. ООН; Договір, Міжнародний документ від 01.07.1968. URL: https://zakon.rada.gov.ua/laws/show/995_098#Text
Меморандум про гарантії безпеки у зв'язку з приєднанням України до Договору про нерозповсюдження ядерної зброї. Україна, Російська Федерація, Великобританія [...]; Меморандум, Міжнародний документ від 05.12.1994. URL: https://zakon.rada.gov.ua/laws/show/998_158#Text
Бехруз Х., Мануїлова К. Ядерний тероризм як загроза міжнародному правопорядку. Юридичний науковий електронний журнал. 2023. № 3. С. 581–584.
Мироненко В. Особливості світової політики щодо ракетно-ядерних озброєнь. Міжнародні відносини, суспільні комунікації та регіональні студії. РОЗДІЛ ІV. Політичні інститути та процеси. 2021. № 3 (11). С. 225–235.
Мироненко В. Політичні властивості ракетно-ядерних програм як форми регулювання міжнародних безпекових відносин. Актуальні проблеми політики. 2023. Вип. 71. С. 179–183.
Соколовська О. М. Глобальна ядерна безпека: актуальні наголоси політики. ВІСНИК НТУУ «КПІ». Політологія. Соціологія. Право. 2023. Випуск 1(57) С. 128-134.
Щорічник сіпрі 2023. Озброєння, роззброєння та міжнародна безпека. Центр Разумкова. Стокгольмський міжнародний інститут дослідження миру. Київ. 2024. 664 с.
Застосування ядерної зброї має бути забороненим. 2022. URL: http://surl.li/ikuphd
Їжак О. Ядерне стримування і ядерний шантаж у політиці РФ. 2022. URL: https://niss.gov.ua/news/statti/yaderne-strymuvannya-i-yadernyy-shantazh-u-politytsi-rf
Кононенко В. Ядерний клуб: скільки країн світу має арсенал ядерної зброї. 2024. URL: https://vikna.tv/dlia-tebe/novyny-ukrayiny/v-yakyh-krayinah-ye-yaderna-zbroya-kilkist-krayin/
Alexandre Debs, Nuno P. Monteiro Nuclear Politics. The Strategic Causes of Proliferation. Yale University, Connecticut. 2016. 648 р.
Berkemeier M., Fuhrmann M. Nuclear Weapons in Foreign Policy. Oxford Research Encyclopedia of Politics. 2017.
Hanson M. Nuclear Weapons as Obstacles to International Security. International Relations, 16(3), 2002. pp. 361-379.
Ifft E., Koplow D. Legal and political myths of the Treaty on the Prohibition of Nuclear Weapons. Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists, 77. 2021. рр. 134-139.
Ikonomou P. NPT Nuclear Weapon States (NWS). 2020. рр.103-122.
Neakrase S. The Global Nuclear Security Architecture: Closing Gaps to Build Greater Assurance, Accountability, and Action. Саnada, Nuclear Threat Initiative, 2021. 28 p.
Nuclear Weapons Under International Law: An Overview. Geneva Academy. October 2014. 21 p.
Paul T. V. The Paradox of Power: Nuclear Weapons in a Changed World. Alternatives: Global, Local, Political, vol. 20, no. 4, 1995, pp. 479–500.
Liubov Korina Modernisation of Nuclear Weapons: International Security, Humanitarian Law and Power Politics. 2024. URL: https://www.internationalaffairs.org.au/news-item/modernisation-of-nuclear-weapons-international-security-humanitarian-law-and-power-politics-2/
Nuclear Weapons: Who Has What at a Glance. 2024. URL: https://www.armscontrol.org/factsheets/nuclear-weapons-who-has-what-glance#:~:text=The%20world's%20nuclear%2Darmed%20states,nuclear%20weapons%20by%20the%20NPT.
Role of nuclear weapons grows as geopolitical relations deteriorate—new SIPRI Yearbook out now. 2024. URL: https://www.sipri.org/media/press-release/2024/role-nuclear-weapons-grows-geopolitical-relations-deteriorate-new-sipri-yearbook-out-now
Dohovir pro nerozposiudzhennia yadernoi zbroi vid 1 lypnia 1968 roku. OON; Dohovir, Mizhnarodnyi dokument vid 01.07.1968 [Treaty on the Non-Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons of July 1, 1968. UN; Treaty, International Document of 01.07.1968]. Available at: https://zakon.rada.gov.ua/laws/show/995_098#Text (in Ukrainian)
Memorandum pro harantii bezpeky u zviazku z pryiednanniam Ukrainy do Dohovoru pro nerozposiudzhennia yadernoi zbroi. Ukraina, Rosiiska Federatsiia, Velykobrytaniia [...]; Memorandum, Mizhnarodnyi dokument vid 05.12.1994 [Memorandum on Security Assurances Related to Ukraine's Accession to the NPT. Ukraine, Russian Federation, United Kingdom; Memorandum, International Document of 05.12.1994]. Available at: https://zakon.rada.gov.ua/laws/show/998_158#Text (in Ukrainian)
Bekhruz, Kh., & Manuilova, K. (2023). Yadernyi teroryzm yak zahroza mizhnarodnomu pravoporiadku [Nuclear Terrorism as a Threat to International Legal Order]. Yurydychnyi naukovyi elektronnyi zhurnal [Legal Scientific Electronic Journal], (3), 581–584. (in Ukrainian)
Myronenko, V. (2021). Osoblyvosti svitovoi polityky shchodo raketno-yadernykh ozbroien [Features of Global Policy on Missile and Nuclear Weapons]. Mizhnarodni vidnosyny, suspilni komunikatsii ta rehionalni studii [International Relations, Public Communications, and Regional Studies], IV(3[11]), 225–235. (in Ukrainian)
Myronenko, V. (2023). Politychni vlastyvosti raketno-yadernykh prohram yak formy rehuluvannia mizhnarodnykh bezpekovykh vidnosyn [Political Characteristics of Missile-Nuclear Programs as a Form of Regulation of International Security Relations]. Aktualni problemy polityky [Current Problems of Politics], (71), 179–183. (in Ukrainian)
Sokolovska O. M. (2023) Hlobalna yaderna bezpeka: aktualni naho losy polityky [Global nuclear security: current political highlights]. Visnyk NTUU “KPI”. Politolohiya. Sotsiolohiya. Pravo, vol. 1(57), pp. 128–134. (in Ukrainian)
SIPRI Yearbook (2023) Zbroyennya, rozzbroyennya ta mizhnarodna bezpeka [Armaments, Disarmament, and International Security]. Razumkov Center, Stockholm International Peace Research Institute, Kyiv, 664 p. (in Ukrainian).
Zastosuvannya yadernoyi zbroi maye buty zaboronenym (2022) [The Use of Nuclear Weapons Should Be Prohibited]. Available at: http://surl.li/ikuphd (in Ukrainian)
Yizhak O. (2022) Yaderne strymuvannya i yadernyy shantazh u politytsi RF [Nuclear deterrence and nuclear blackmail in Russian policy]. Available at: https://niss.gov.ua/news/statti/yaderne-strymuvannya-i-yadernyy-shantazh-u-politytsi-rf (in Ukrainian)
Kononenko V. (2024) Yadernyy klub: skilky krayin svitu maye arsenal yadernoyi zbroi [Nuclear club: how many countries in the world have a nuclear arsenal]. Available at: https://vikna.tv/dlia-tebe/novyny-ukrayiny/v-yakyh-krayinah-ye-yaderna-zbroya-kilkist-krayin
Alexandre Debs, Nuno P. Monteiro (2016) Nuclear Politics. The Strategic Causes of Proliferation. Yale University, Connecticut. 648 р.
Berkemeier M., Fuhrmann M. (2017) Nuclear Weapons in Foreign Policy. Oxford Research Encyclopedia of Politics.
Hanson M. (2002) Nuclear Weapons as Obstacles to International Security. International Relations, 16(3), pp. 361-379.
Ifft E., Koplow D. (2021) Legal and political myths of the Treaty on the Prohibition of Nuclear Weapons. Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists, 77. рр. 134-139.
Ikonomou P. (2020) NPT Nuclear Weapon States (NWS). рр.103-122.
Neakrase S. (2021) The Global Nuclear Security Architecture: Closing Gaps to Build Greater Assurance, Accountability, and Action. Саnada, Nuclear Threat Initiative. 28 p.
Nuclear Weapons Under International Law: An Overview. Geneva Academy. October 2014. 21 p.
Paul T. V. (1995) The Paradox of Power: Nuclear Weapons in a Changed World. Alternatives: Global, Local, Political, vol. 20, no. 4, pp. 479–500.
Liubov Korina Modernisation of Nuclear Weapons: International Security, Humanitarian Law and Power Politics. 2024. URL: https://www.internationalaffairs.org.au/news-item/modernisation-of-nuclear-weapons-international-security-humanitarian-law-and-power-politics-2/
Nuclear Weapons: Who Has What at a Glance. 2024. URL: https://www.armscontrol.org/factsheets/nuclear-weapons-who-has-what-glance#:~:text=The%20world's%20nuclear%2Darmed%20states,nuclear%20weapons%20by%20the%20NPT.
Role of nuclear weapons grows as geopolitical relations deteriorate—new SIPRI Yearbook out now. 2024. URL: https://www.sipri.org/media/press-release/2024/role-nuclear-weapons-grows-geopolitical-relations-deteriorate-new-sipri-yearbook-out-now
Authors who publish with this journal agree to the following terms:
- Authors retain copyright and grant the journal right of first publication of this work under the terms of a license Creative Commons Attribution License 4.0 International (CC BY 4.0).
- Authors are able to enter into separate, additional contractual arrangements for the non-exclusive distribution of the journal's published version of the work (e.g., post it to an institutional repository or publish it in a book), with an acknowledgement of its initial publication in this journal.
- Authors are permitted and encouraged to post their work online (e.g., in institutional repositories or on their website) prior to and during the submission process, as it can lead to productive exchanges, as well as earlier and greater citation of published work.