Ukraine-Turkey: political and economic aspects of development and prospects

Abstract

The issues of studying of the modern Ukrainian-Turkish relations and their role in the foreign policy strategy of both countries are paid not enough attention; however, they are critically important, taking into consideration the importance of these relations for both Ukraine and Turkey. The subject of the research is the Ukrainian-Turkish relations. The goal of the article is genesis of establishment and development prospects of the basic foreign policy vectors of the relationship between Ukraine and Turkey. The objective is to analyze genesis of establishment of the relationship between Ukraine and Turkey since acquisition of the independence by Ukraine; to determine the primary priorities of collaboration of Ukraine and Turkey; to consider the main stages of establishment of the relationship between Ukraine and Turkey; to define the political constituents of the relationship between Ukraine and Turkey; to specify the overriding priorities and indexes of economic partnership between Ukraine and Turkey; to substantiate the possible scenarios of the development of the relationship between Ukraine and Turkey. The general scientific methods are used, such as: the system analysis – for the determination of the peculiarities of establishment and development of the basic foreign policy vectors of the relationship between Ukraine and Turkey; the factor analysis – for the formalization of the cause-and-effect relationship of the studied impact factors between Ukraine and Turkey; and also the  scenario method whereby the most appropriate scenario of the development of the relationship between the mentioned above countries from 2010 till 2020, that it is suggested to name coherent. The following results are obtained: on the basis of the conducted analysis the problem aspects in the political and economic spheres are drawn out, particularly, it is substantiated that Turkey with regard to Ukraine is characterized with economization of relations; the economic components that facilitate the expansion of the amount of Ukrainian goods in the Turkish market are identified, specifically, it is analyzed that creation of the free trade zone will result in the extension of the commodity circulation between countries at least twice. The conclusions: the role of the economic factor in the relations between two countries is exposed; comparison of some economic indicators is done; the basic indexes of the export and import are analyzed; the prospects of the trade and economic cooperation and advancement of the Ukrainian export to Turkey are determined; three possible scenarios of progress of the collaboration till 2020 with pointing the most appropriate and the most impermissible ones for Ukraine are defined.