Management of public financial debt in conditions of unbalanced supply and demand of energy resources

Abstract

Financial debt management in the context of the energy crisis is an urgent problem that requires a strategic approach in countries with an unstable energy system. The imbalance between the supply and demand of energy resources generation creates a trap in which the growth of energy shortages leads to increased import costs, higher prices for end consumers and increased financial burden on the state. This, in turn, can provoke inflationary pressure, a decrease in the competitiveness of the national economy, an increase in public debt and social tension due to an increase in the cost of living and a decrease in the level of energy security. The research used the methods of scenario analysis, descriptive statistics, econometric, monographic and comparative analysis. The purpose of the article is to analyze the impact of energy crises on the state of state financial support, to determine ways to minimize risks and ensure financial stability. In the course of the study, the degree of influence of the imbalance of demand and supply of energy resources on the state financial debt was determined through the use of such tools as: analysis of market conditions, assessment of the level of demand and supply for energy resources. The paradigm of an integrated approach to the management of public debt in the context of energy crises is characterized, which is based on an integrated, multidimensional analysis and management of interrelationships between various economic, financial, social and political factors. It is emphasized that consideration of the energy sector should not take place in isolation, but in the context of its interaction with the financial capabilities of other sectors of the economy. Practical recommendations include risk assessment models related to energy crises and methods of stabilizing public finances, which can be used in the operational management of the state's financial debt. The method of integration and coordination of energy, economic, fiscal and social indicators is proposed for determining effective financial instruments and mechanisms for optimizing budget expenditures. It is concluded that in the conditions of imbalance of energy demand and supply, management of financial debt requires a strategic approach based on investments in clean energy, improvement of energy efficiency and accurate forecasting