Volatility on stock exchanges and its impact on transformations in the financial services market

Keywords: volatility, stock market, risk management, digital technologies, geopolitical risks, machine learning, Big Data, financial services market, analytics, transformations

Abstract

In modern global economy, stock market volatility has become one of the decisive factors shaping the financial services market. Exchange rate fluctuations not only affect asset valuation, but also investment decisions, risk management mechanisms, and the strategic development of financial institutions.

Problem statement. Despite significant research on volatility measurement and forecasting, there is insufficient analysis of how volatility drives structural transformation of the financial services market, especially under conditions of geopolitical instability, technological progress, and financial digitalisation.

Unresolved aspects of the problem. The interdisciplinary connection between volatility, financial innovations (cryptocurrencies, Big Data, AI-driven analytics), and transformations of financial services remains underexplored. Knowledge gaps concern the interaction of global spillover risks, geopolitical shocks, and the adaptive capacity of financial institutions.

Purpose of the article. The study aims to identify how stock exchange volatility influences transformations in the financial services market and to propose strategies for adaptation under instability and uncertainty.

Presentation of the main material. Using an interdisciplinary approach, the article combines theoretical analysis, systemic modelling, and review of empirical studies. It shows that volatility manifests through spillover effects across interconnected markets, amplified by geopolitical risks, and intensified by digital innovations such as algorithmic trading and cryptocurrencies. The author highlights the growing role of machine learning and AI in forecasting volatility, while emphasizing the limitations of algorithmic tools and the importance of combining them with expert financial analysis. Special attention is given to regional disparities, third-party risks, and the need for hybrid analytical platforms integrating local and global expertise.

Conclusions. Volatility is both a challenge and a driver of transformation in financial services. It accelerates the introduction of new technologies, changes risk management approaches, and demands new regulatory and analytical frameworks. A hybrid model combining digital tools and human expertise can mitigate risks, improve resilience of financial institutions, and expand access to financial services in underdeveloped markets. The results provide a foundation for adaptive strategies and future research on multi-level models of volatility assessment.

Downloads

Download data is not yet available.

Author Biography

Serhii Zadvornykh, Private Higher Education Institution “Rauf Ablyazov East European University”

Doctor of Philosophy in Economics, Associate Professor of the Department of Finance

References

Ali, S.R.M., Anik, K.I., Hasan, M.N. & Kamal, M.R. (2023). Geopolitical threats, equity returns, and optimal hedging. International Review of Financial Analysis, 90, 102835. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.irfa.2023.102835.

Baik, B., Kang, J.-K., Kim, J.-M. & Lee, J. (2013). The liability of foreignness in international equity investments: evidence from the US stock market. Journal of International Business Studies, 44, 391-411. DOI: 10.1057/jibs.2013.13.

Baruník, J., Kočenda, E. & Vácha, L. (2016). Asymmetric connectedness on the U.S. stock market: Bad and good volatility spillovers. Journal of Financial Markets, 27, 55-78. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.finmar.2015.09.003.

Batten, J.A., Boubaker, S., Kinateder, H., Choudhury, T. & Wagner, N.F. (2023). Volatility impacts on global banks: Insights from the GFC, COVID-19, and the Russia-Ukraine war. Journal of Economic Behavior and Organization, 215, 325–350. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jebo.2023.09.016.

Bell, R. G., Filatotchev, I. & Rasheed, A. A. (2012). The liability of foreignness in capital markets: sources and remedies. Journal of International Business Studies, 43, 107-122. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1057/jibs.2011.55.

Black, F., & Scholes, M. (1973). The pricing of options and corporate liabilities. Journal of Political Economy, 81(3), 637-654. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1086/260062.

Bouri, E., Hammoud, R. & Abou Kassm, C. (2023). The effect of oil implied volatility and geopolitical risk on GCC stock sectors under various market conditions. Energy Economics, 120, 106617. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.eneco.2023.106617.

Cadena-Silva, J.P., Lara, J.Á.S. & Fernández, J.M.R. (2025). Stock market volatility and oil shocks: A study of G7 economies. International Review of Financial Analysis, 103, 104218. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.irfa.2025.104218.

Chen, Y.-L., Yang, J.J. & Chang, Y.-T. (2025). Stock market volatility spillovers from U.S. to China: The pivotal role of Hong Kong. Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, 90, 102670, DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.pacfin.2025.102670.

Christensen, K., Siggaard, M., & Veliyev, B. (2023). A Machine Learning Approach to Volatility Forecasting. Journal of Financial Econometrics, 21(5), 1680-1727. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1093/jjfinec/nbac020.

Christoffersen, P., & Diebold, F. X. (2006). Financial asset returns, direction-of-change forecasting, and volatility dynamics. Management Science, 52(8), 1273-1287. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1287/mnsc.1060.0575.

Ding, S., Cui, T. & Zhang, Y. (2022). Futures volatility forecasting based on big data analytics, incorporating an order imbalance effect. International Review of Financial Analysis, 83, 102255. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.irfa.2022.102255.

Döring, S., Drobetz, W., El Ghoul, S., Guedhami, O. & Schröder, H. (2021). Institutional investment horizons and firm valuation around the world. Journal of International Business Studies, 52, 212-244. DOI: 10.1057/s41267-020-00351-9.

Engle, R. F. (1982). Autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity with estimates of the variance of United Kingdom inflation. Econometrica, 50(4), 987-1008. DOI: https://doi.org/10.2307/1912773.

Gupta, H. & Chaudhary, R. (2022). An empirical study of volatility in the cryptocurrency market. Journal of Risk and Financial Management, 15(11), 1-15. DOI: https://doi.org/10.3390/jrfm15110513.

Jeong, Y.-C., Yu, J. & Ryu, W. (2024). Connecting Cross-Border Market Participants: The Intermediary Role of International Analysts in Global Capital Markets. Journal of Management Studies, 61, 6, 2535-2569. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1111/joms.12988.

Lee, C.-C. & Lee, C.-C. (2023). International spillovers of U.S. monetary uncertainty and equity market volatility to China’s stock markets. Journal of Asian Economics, 84, 101575. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.asieco.2022.101575.

Rohilla, A. & Tripathi, N. (2022). A study on investors’ sentiment and market returns of the Indian stock market. In (M. K. Mohanty, Ed.). Orissa Journal of Commerce, 43(4). DOI: https://doi.org/10.54063/ojc.2022.v43i04.02.

Roy, G., Fiaidhi, J. & Mohammed, S. (2022). Multi-Timeframe Algorithmic Trading Bots Using Thick Data Heuristics with Deep Reinforcement Learning. Artificial Intelligence Evolution, 3, 2, 107–159. DOI: https://doi.org/10.37256/aie.3220221722.

Salisu, A.A., Lasisi, L. & Tchankam, J.P. (2022). Historical geopolitical risk and the behaviour of stock returns in advanced economies. The European Journal of Finance, 28(9), 889-906. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1080/1351847X.2021.1968467.

Twedt, B. & Rees, L. (2012). Reading between the lines: an empirical examination of qualitative attributes of financial analysts’ reports. Journal of Accounting and Public Policy, 31, 1-21. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jaccpubpol.2011.10.010.

Umar, Z., Bossman, A., Choi, S.-Y. & Teplova, T. (2022). Does geopolitical risk matter for global asset returns? Evidence from quantile-on-quantile regression. Finance Research Letters, 48, 102991. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.frl.2022.102991.

Wang, B. & Xiao, Y. (2023). Risk spillovers from China’s and the US stock markets during high-volatility periods: Evidence from East Asianstock markets. International Review of Financial Analysis, 86, 102538. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.irfa.2023.102538.

World Economic Forum. (2024). Global cybersecurity outlook 2024. https://www.weforum.org/publications/global-cybersecurity-outlook-2024/.

Yilmazkuday, H. (2023). COVID-19 effects on the S&P 500 index. Applied Economics Letters, 30(1), 7–13. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1080/13504851.2021.1971607.

Yilmazkuday, H. (2024). Geopolitical risk and stock prices. European Journal of Political Economy, 83, 102553. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ejpoleco.2024.102553.

Published
2025-09-30
Cited
How to Cite
Zadvornykh, S. (2025). Volatility on stock exchanges and its impact on transformations in the financial services market. FINANCIAL AND CREDIT SYSTEMS: PROSPECTS FOR DEVELOPMENT, 3(18), 75-87. https://doi.org/10.26565/2786-4995-2025-3-06
Section
Finance, accounting, audit and taxation