Dynamics of territorial and political conflicts in the world
Keywords:
territorial and political conflicts, geography of conflict, conflict issue, duration of the conflict, conflict intensity
Abstract
Application of quantitative approach allows for gaining new results on trends of the dynamics of territorial and political conflicts (TPC). The objective of the article is to determine the dynamics in the number of territorial and political conflicts in individual macro-regions and in the whole world. The task of the article is to give grounds for viability of allocating groups of conflicts characterized by territorial manifestation from HIIK database “Conflict Barometer”; to determine the dynamics of a series of indicators typical of territorial and political conflicts in 2004-2014.
Analysis of TPC development in the world using the data presented in the reports of HIIK “Conflict Barometer” (2004, 2006, 2008, 2010, 2012, 2014) was made. Out of all political conflicts characterized by such conflict issues as: 1. Territory; 2. Autonomy; 3. Secession; 4. Subnational Predominance; 5. Resources, TPC sampling was performed. Attention was also paid to TPC, which were characterized by a combination of several conflict issues.
It has been established that over the decade under study, the number of conflicts that belong to TPC group has significantly increased from 114 to 253, i.e. in 2.2 times. This increase occurred in a wave-like manner. Over the period under study, the average intensity of TPC in the world has increased. In absolute terms, the largest increase in the number of conflicts took place in Asia and Africa, and the largest relative increase was inAmerica(3.5 times) andOceania(7 times). TPC duration has also grown. The largest number of TPC concerned the authority in the region and autonomy.
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References
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25. Hensel, P.R. (2000). Territory: Theory and Evidence on Geography and Conflict. John A. Vasquez, ed., What Do We Know about War? Boulder, CO: Rowman and Littlefield, forthcoming. Available at: http://www.paulhensel.org/Research/terr2000.pdf
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27. Kaldor, M. (2013). In Defence of New Wars. Stability, 2, 1-16.
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30. Marshall, M. G., Cole, B. R. (2014). Global Report 2014: Conflict, Governance and State Fragility. Vienna, VA: Center for Systematic Peace, 55.
31. Minca, C., Rowan, R. (2015). The question of space in Carl Schmitt. Progress in Human Geography, 39, 268-289.
32. Mountz, A. (2013). Political geography I: Reconfiguring geographies of sovereignty. Progress in Human Geography, 37 (6), 829-841.
33. Newman, D. (2012). Borders and Conflict Resolution, in Thomas Wilson and Hastings Donnan, eds., A Companion to Border Studies, Blackwell, 14, 249-265.
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36. Raleigh, C. (2015). Geographies of Conflict. The Wiley Blackwell Companion to Political Geography John Agnew, Virginie Mamadouh, Anna J. Secor, Joanne Sharp. Hoboken: The Wiley Blackwell, 86-99.
37. Raleigh, C., Hegre, H. (2009). Population size, concentration, and civil war. A geographically disaggregated analysis. Political Geography, 28, 224-238.
38. Roser, M. (2016). War and Peace after 1946. Our World In Data.org. Available at: https://ourworldindata.org/war-and-peace-after-1945/
39. Roser, M. (2016). War and Peace over the Long Run. Our World In Data.org. Available at: https://ourworldindata.org/war-and-peace-long-run
40. Solar Cycle Prediction (Updated 2016/01/12) (2016). NASA. Solar Physics. Marshall Space Flight Center. Available at: http://solarscience.msfc.nasa.gov/predict.shtml
41. Taylor, A. (2009). Belonging. International Encyclopedia of Human Geography. [Editors-in-Chief Rob Kitchin, and Nigel Thrift]. Amsterdam: Elsevier, Vol. 1, 294-299.
42. Tomeš, J., Festa, D., Novotný, J. (2007). Konflikt svétů a svét konfliktů. Praha: Nakladatelství P3K, 349.
43. UCDP /PRIO Armed Conflict Dataset v. 4-2015, 1946–2014. Uppsala Conflict Data Program. Available at: http://www.pcr.uu.se/research/ucdp/datasets/ucdp_prio_armed_conflict_dataset/
Published
2017-01-14
Cited
How to Cite
Slyvka, R. (2017). Dynamics of territorial and political conflicts in the world. Human Geography Journal, 21(2), 26-40. https://doi.org/10.26565/2076-1333-2016-21-04
Section
Горизонти науки
Copyright (c) 2016 Roman Slyvka
This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License.
