Ukraine's IT sector: analysis of trends under martial law

doi:10.26565/2311-2379-2025-108-03

A. Petrova V.N. Karazin Kharkiv National University http://orcid.org/0000-0003-1773-1427
M. Deineka V.N. Karazin Kharkiv National University http://orcid.org/0000-0001-9412-7122
K. Priadko V.N. Karazin Kharkiv National University http://orcid.org/0009-0006-2757-5885

DOI: https://doi.org/10.26565/2311-2379-2025-108-03

Keywords: information technology, IT company, export of IT services, business entities, correlation

Abstract

Information technologies (IT) play a key role in stimulating growth, stability and innovative development of the Ukrainian economy. IT sector is one of the leading and export-oriented sectors of the national economy, contributing to foreign exchange earnings, strengthening international competitiveness and adapting to crisis phenomena. Given the challenges of wartime and changes in the structure of demand for IT services, it is especially relevant to identify the most productive sectors that have the maximum export potential. This, in turn, allows us to formulate justified measures to support and stimulate priority areas of the industry. The purpose of the work is to analyze trends in the main indicators of the functioning of the IT sector of Ukraine under martial law, as well as to study the relationship between the volume of exports of IT services and the number of business entities in this sector. The object of the study is the IT sector as a component of the national economy, and the subject is indicators that characterize its activities and their impact on export potential. Research methodology includes the use of official statistics, open databases, a review of scientific sources and reports, analysis of the dynamics, structure and growth of indicators, data visualization (tables and charts) and conducting correlation and regression analysis to identify the relationship between key indicators. The analysis showed that despite the challenges of modernity, the Ukrainian IT sector maintains positive dynamics, demonstrating signs of recovery and the ability to maintain foreign exchange earnings. In general, the IT sector is adapting to a prolonged crisis, where the dominance of key players among IT companies remains. The number of active entities in the context of NACE code 62.0 has a positive impact on the volume of exports of IT services in Ukraine. Companies that are directly involved in computer programming have the strongest impact. The constructed linear regression model allows to emphasize the expediency of stimulating the creation of new business entities as a tool for increasing foreign economic activity.

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Author Biographies

A. Petrova, V.N. Karazin Kharkiv National University

Ph.D. (Physical and Mathematical), Associate Professor of the Department of Economic Cybernetics and Applied Economics

M. Deineka, V.N. Karazin Kharkiv National University

Senior Lecturer of the Department of Economic Cybernetics and Applied Economics

K. Priadko, V.N. Karazin Kharkiv National University

Student (Economic Cybernetics)

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