LEGAL AND METHODOLOGICAL FOUNDATIONS FOR THE IMPLEMENTATION OF EUROPEAN IOCTA STANDARDS IN THE DIGITAL SECURITY SYSTEM OF UKRAINE: A HUMANITARIAN ASPECT

Abstract

Introduction. The article provides a comprehensive theoretical and legal analysis of the implementation of the European methodology for the Internet Organised Crime Threat Assessment (IOCTA) into the national digital security system. The relevance of the study is driven by the necessity to transform techno-centric approaches to cybersecurity under martial law and transition toward an anthropocentric model for protecting citizens' constitutional rights. The problem statement identifies the risks of "institutional isomorphism" and the phenomenon of "decoupling" in the formal adoption of Western models without proper recontextualization. The methodological framework of the study is based on the concepts of sociological institutionalism from the Stanford School, the system-structural method, and methods of predictive risk modeling. The aim of the article is to justify the humanitarian vector of digital security as a foundation for Ukraine's institutional resilience.

Summary of the main research results. It is proven that digital security in modern conditions is not merely a technical function but a critical humanitarian task aimed at protecting human dignity and freedom. The author conducts a critical analysis of previous experience with implementing the SOCTA methodology in Ukraine, which revealed a loss of proactive analytics and an inability to use results predictively due to a formalistic approach to standard adoption. The transition from "analytics of control" to "analytics of trust" is justified, where the key indicator is the strengthening of social resilience. The article details the regulations of the strategic analytical cycle, including continuous OSINT monitoring, expert validation through in-depth interviews, and comprehensive Foresight analysis across priority sectors. Particular attention is paid to the ethical component of the analytical process, where the analyst emerges as a communicator of strategic meanings and an ethical mediator. The creation of a "ukrainian school of analytics" is proposed to develop new institutional competencies for law enforcement agencies.

Conclusions. A new paradigm for digital security is formulated, based on predictive risk management and institutional capacity to adapt international standards to a specific sociolegal context. It is concluded that the success of IOCTA implementation depends on the analytical system's ability to detect "weak signals" of technological threats while subordinating them to the protection of human dignity and the strengthening of the democratic order. Building a culture of predictive analytics is identified as a key step toward overcoming systemic vulnerabilities and ensuring Ukraine's sustainable development in the era of global digitalization.