Global Powers and Regional Instability: The Influence of External Actors on the Geopolitics of the Eastern Mediterranean

Authors

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.26565/2310-9513-2025-22-04

Keywords:

Eastern Mediterranean, geopolitics, regional instability, external actors, global powers, military bases, diplomatic alliances, economic investments

Abstract

The relevance of the topic is due to the growing role of the Eastern Mediterranean as a strategic region where the interests of global powers and regional actors intersect, which forms a complex system of interaction and competition and directly affects global security. The subject of the article is the influence of external actors on the level of regional instability and the dynamics of conflict in the Eastern Mediterranean. The purpose of the study is to examine the mechanisms of global powers’ influence on political, economic, and security processes in the region, as well as to identify the factors that increase or reduce the level of conflict. The research tasks include analyzing the political strategies of key actors, identifying the main factors of destabilization, and assessing the dual effect of external presence (stabilizing and destabilizing). The research methods include system analysis – to determine the role of the Eastern Mediterranean in contemporary geopolitics; comparative analysis of political strategies – to identify common and distinctive elements of global powers’ approaches; and analysis of official statistics, declarations, and open sources – to formalize the cause-and-effect relationships between the actions of external actors and the level of regional tension. The results of the study show that the presence of the United States, Russia, and China in the Eastern Mediterranean takes place through military bases, economic projects, and diplomatic alliances, which both support stability and create new sources of conflict. The analysis reveals that competition in the fields of security and energy, as well as the escalation of territorial disputes, increases regional tensions and complicates the search for compromises. The conclusions state that the dual nature of external influence requires the development of new approaches to international cooperation, aimed at multilateral dispute resolution, strengthening the role of international organizations, and forming innovative models of cooperation. The obtained results serve as a basis for the practical activities of international institutions and state structures to reduce regional tensions and to elaborate effective strategies for the interaction of external actors.

References

Alibabalu, S. S., & Sarkhanov, T. (2022). Geopolitics and geoeconomics of the Eastern Mediterranean gas conflict: Analysis of Turkey’s policy. Geopolitical Compass. URL: https://geopoliticalcompass.com/geopolitics-and-geoeconomics-of-the-eastern-mediterranean-gas-conflict-analysis-of-turkeys-policy

Bastian, K. (2021). The EU in the Eastern Mediterranean—a “Geopolitical” Actor?. Orbis, 65(3),URL:483-489. https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/abs/pii/S0030438721000302

Bakhshandeh, E. (2023). Geopolitical Transformation in Eastern Mediterranean. International Journal of Middle East Studies, 55(3), 1–20. DOI: 10.1177/00208817231168003

Council on Foreign Relations. (2024). Mapping US forces and military presence in the Middle East. URL:https://www.cfr.org/article/us-forces-middle-east-mapping-military-presence

Debtanu, M., & Naha, A. (2025). Regional instability and changing power dynamics: Ongoing crisis in the Middle East. DOI:10.1007/978-981-96-3368-5_19

Giovannelli, M. (2025). EastMed and the geopolitics of connectivity: Energy, diplomacy and regional cooperation in the Eastern Mediterranean. ResearchGate. URL: https://www.researchgate.net/publication/390755923_EastMed_and_the_Geopolitics_of_Connectivity_Energy_Diplomacy_and_Regional_Cooperation_in_the_Eastern_Mediterranean

Giovannelli, M. (2025). Eastern Mediterranean as a geopolitical hub: Competition between global and regional actors. Mediterranean Geopolitics, 11(1), 23–45. URL: https://www.researchgate.net/publication/390755923_EastMed_and_the_Geopolitics_of_Connectivity_Energy_Diplomacy_and_Regional_Cooperation_in_the_Eastern_Mediterranean

Gürzel Aka, A., Bozoglu, A. E., Hashimov, I., & Pulhan, A. (2021). The “new great game” in the Eastern Mediterranean. Southeast European and Black Sea Studies, 22(1), 1–20. DOI :https://doi.org/10.1080/13537121.2022.2017133

Le Monde. (2024, October 18). Giorgia Meloni visits Beirut amid tensions with Israel. URL:https://www.lemonde.fr/en/international/article/2024/10/18/giorgia-meloni-visits-beirut-amid-tensions-with-israel_6729706_4.html

Mehmet, O., & Yorucu, V. (2020). Modern geopolitics of Eastern Mediterranean hydrocarbons in an age of energy transformation. Springer. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-43585-1

Ministry of National Defense of China. (2024). Military strategy overview 2024. URL: http://eng.mod.gov.cn/documents/2024/strategic_overview.pdf

Reuters. (2024, May 24). Yemen's Houthis say they launch attacks on 3 ships, including one in Mediterranean. URL:https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/yemens-houthis-say-they-launch-attacks-3-ships-including-one-mediterranean-2024-05-24/

Stergiou, A. (2023). Eastern Mediterranean energy geopolitics revisited: Green economy instead of conflict. Journal of Balkan and Near Eastern Studies, 25(4), 604–625. URL:https://ideas.repec.org/a/taf/cjsbxx/v25y2023i4p604-625.html

Stergiou, A. (2023). Energy resources as political instruments in regional security. Security and Policy Studies, 8(2), 77–95.

U.S. Department of Defense. (2024). Annual defense report 2024. URL:https://www.defense.gov/News/Publications/Annual-Reports/2024-Defense-Report/

Wilson Center. (2024). China and Russia in the Middle East: Seeking integration under common goals. URL:https://www.wilsoncenter.org/article/china-and-russia-middle-east-seeking-integration-under-common-goal

International Institute for Strategic Studies (IISS). (2024). The Military Balance 2024. URL:https://www.iiss.org/publications/the-military-balance/the-military-balance-2024

Al Jazeera. (2025, June 12). Mapping US troops and military bases in the Middle East. URL:https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2025/6/12/mapping-us-troops-and-military-bases-in-the-middle-east

International Institute for Strategic Studies (IISS). Turbulence in the Eastern Mediterranean. Strategic Dossier, 2024. URL: https://www.iiss.org/globalassets/media-library---migration/files/publications---free-files/strategic-dossier/eastern-med-2024/iiss-strategic-dossier_turbulence-in-the-eastern-mediterranean_chapter-1_112024.pdf

NATO Secretary General. Annual Report 2024. URL: https://www.nato.int/nato_static_fl2014/assets/pdf/2025/4/pdf/sgar24-en.pdf

Downloads

Published

2025-12-30

How to Cite

Global Powers and Regional Instability: The Influence of External Actors on the Geopolitics of the Eastern Mediterranean. (2025). The Journal of V. N. Karazin Kharkiv National University. Series: International Relations. Economics. Country Studies. Tourism, 22, 30-38. https://doi.org/10.26565/2310-9513-2025-22-04